1 Current State of Chinese Steel
Industry
1.1 Milestones
1.1.1 Initial Development after China Founded
(1949-1957)
1.1.2
“Great Leap Forward”
& “Cultural Revolution” (1958-1965)
1.1.3 Shift from Planned Economy to Market Economy
(1977-1999)
1.1.4 Quick Growth (2000-2011)
1.1.5 Move into All Round Overcapacity (2012-)
1.1.6 Situation of Private Steel Companies
1.2 Existing Situation
1.2.1 Chinese Steel Industry See All Round
Overcapacity
1.2.2 Softer Demand from Property & Infrastructure
Key to Falling Steel Demand
1.2.3 Loss Mounting, Huge Overcapacity Is Biggest
Concern
1.2.4 Low-Cost Manufacturers Stand Out, China Needs
Time in Steel Industry Restructuring
1.2.5 Steel Export Needs Structure Optimization and
Can’t Be Solution to Overcapacity
1.2.6 With Low Industry Concentration, M&As Needs
Acceleration
1.2.7 Regional Gap: North vs South, East vs West
2 Trend & Demand Outlook
2.1 Reliance on Investment Can’t Be Sustainable,
China to See Demand Drops
2.2 Limits in Chinese Steel Exports
2.3 Chinese Domestic Steel Industry Restructuring
Vital to Solve Capacity Problem
2.4 EAF Production to See Growing Ratio after 2020
2.5 China’s Crude Steel Production & Capacity
Outlook for 2030
3 M&As, Inevitable for Chinese Steel Industry
3.1 Policy Background
3.2 M&A, Inevitable Step from Being Big to
Being Strong
3.3 M&A Benefits Capacity Reduction and Product
Portfolio Optimization
3.4 M&A Between Chinese Enterprises
3.5 M&A at State-owned Steel Companies
4 Major Chinese Steel Companies
4.1 By Ownership and Product Category
4.2 By Size and Product Category
5 Operation Situation at Chinese Steel Companies
5.1 Product Portfolio
5.2 Capital Situation
5.3 Cost Control
5.4 Capacity Exits & Impacts from Local
Municipalities
6 Road Ahead
6.1 Capacity Reduction
6.1.1 More-Than-Expected Steel Price Drops Be
Strongest Engine Behind Capacity Reduction
6.1.2 The Invisible Hand be Dominant in Kicking Out
Less-Competitive Small Private Mills in 3 years
6.1.3 Restructuring & Relocation for Mills in
Cities
6.1.4 State Capital May Advance and Private Capital
May Retreat In Short Term
6.1.5 Steel Output Growth Will be Mostly at
State-owned Mills and in Plates
6.2 M&As
6.2.1 Megamerger to Create World-Class Mills
6.2.2 Regional M&As to Form Regional Mill Leaders
6.2.3 M&As Between State-owned Mills Is Full Asset
Transfer
6.2.4 Asset Acquisition Features in M&As Between
Private Mills
6.2.5 M&As Cross Ownership and Regions
6.3 Large Steel Manufacturers to See Higher
Production Proportion
6.4 Coastal Steel Companies to be Growingly
Important in Capacity Structure
6.5 Chinese Steel Companies to Play Role in Global
Capacity Cooperation
7 Conclusion
Please feel free to contact Ms. Tina Tong should you have any
questions.
Tina Tong (Ms)
Tel: 86-555-2238835
Mail: tina.tong@steelhome.cn or steelhome2@hotmail.com |