During October 27-29, 2023, the SteelHome China Steel Industry Summit for 2024
Market was held in Nanjing. This event was organized by SteelHome and proudly
co-sponsored by Handan Zhengda Pipe Group and Ouyeel.
During this conference, seven specialized forums were conducted, including
'Innovation in Steel Supply Chain Models,' 'SteelHome Autumn Report 2023,'
'Industrial Financialization and Risk Management,' 'SteelHome Spot and Futures
Trading Practical Experience Sharing,' 'The 26th Joint Meeting of Market
Information for Steel Enterprises and the 9th Steel Ecosystem Market Information
Conference,' 'Research on the Current State and Structural Issues in the Raw
Materials Market,' and 'Steel Products: Low Carbon Environmental Protection,
Structural Adjustment, and Innovation in Models.
Over
900 participants from more than 700 organizations, including over 120 domestic
and international steel manufacturers, as well as more than 80 raw material
companies, joined the event. Additionally, numerous industry stakeholders,
institutions, and media outlets were represented.
On
the morning of October 28th, Wang Xiaoguang, Deputy Director Researcher, Ph.D.
in Economics, and Doctoral Supervisor of the Economics Department of the Central
Party School (National School of Administration), delivered a speech on
"Analysis and Prospects of the Current Macroeconomic Situation in China".
Wang
Xiaoguang, Deputy Director of the Economics Department of the National School of
Administration, delivered a speech on Analysis and Prospects of the Current
Macroeconomic Situation
Key points of speech:
1.
The three time periods of China's macroeconomic development, namely the short
term, medium term, and long term. Regarding the mid-term outlook, it was
emphasized that the current period is at a critical stage, mainly summarized as
the "three phases" comprehensive adjustment period, risk release period, and
high-quality development breakthrough period. The economic outlook for the next
five years shows a trend of first increasing and then decreasing, and faces four
major challenges, including getting rid of real estate dependence, innovation
challenges, insufficient consumption, and external pressure. Regarding the
short-term outlook, it is pointed out that although the economy has recovered,
it is facing challenges such as insufficient effective demand and difficulties
in business operations. The reasons for short-term economic growth are mainly
attributed to the "scar effect", misjudgment of industry trends, and medium to
long-term pressure. Regarding the long-term outlook, the trend of high growth
potential in consumption and investment, as well as broad room for innovation
and development, has been highlighted.
2.
Regarding whether to implement strong stimulus policies, the analysis points out
that in the current difficult period, the future development potential is
strong, so strong stimulus policies should not be introduced.
3.
Propose two possibilities for next year's economic growth goals and policy
orientations, including setting no annual targets and doubling the next 15 years
as a stable growth goal, while emphasizing the importance of long-term
development. The policy direction includes high-quality development at both
supply and demand ends and eight major development goals.
(To contact the reporter on this story: jake.yang@steelhome.cn or 86-21-50585733 13816581143) |